On February 13, 2025, US Indo-Pacific Command Commander Samuel Paparo dropped a bomb on the Honolulu Defense Forum in Hawaii.他坦言，解放军在台湾开展的军事行动不仅仅是训练演习，而是真正的强行统一演练。 The Indo-Pacific Command, which he oversees, is responsible for half of the world's military operations, from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean, and its military force is terrifyingly large. He assumed the position from his predecessor, Juan Aquilino, on May 3, 2024, during a formal ceremony in Pearl.す。なぜなら、それはジア太平洋地区における中国と米国の间のゲームに直接しているからです。パパロは陆军家族に生まれた海军提督です。彼は幼少期に飞行を学ぶために海军兵学校に入学し、舰载机のベテランになりました。 1991 年の湾岸戦争中、彼は F/A-18 で空母から離陸し、多くの精密誘導弾を投下しました. 2001年のアフガニスタン戦争中、彼は再びタリバン陣地に対する空爆を指揮した。その後急速に昇進し、最初は第5艦隊を担当した。彼は中東海域の哨戒を担当し、多くの不審船を拿捕した。その後、西太平洋での船舶の移動を担当する太平洋艦隊司令官に異動しました。インド太平洋軍に着任すると、米軍で最もダイナミックな指導者の一人として認められた. At the 2024 Shangri-La Dialogue, he said that if the PLA fleet and fighter jets entered the Taiwan Strait, the US military would deploy thousands of drones, unmanned ships and unmanned submarines to turn the entire strait into a "hell tableau", paralyzing the PLA and buying time for the US military to mobilize its forces globally. Returning to your February 2025 prediction, this question must begin with the People's Liberation Army's actions in the Taiwan Strait in recent years. 2022年から人民解放軍は、共同剣-2024Aおよび2024Bなど複数の島嶼包囲軍事演習を実施している. These exercises have become increasingly widespread: 20 to 30 ships are dispatched, fighter jets patrol air defense identification zones, and submarines lurk beneath the ocean to conduct tests.协调。な常态になったと指摘した。谁でも惯れてしまえば警戒心を解くのは简単です。结果，解放军突然替わる可能性がある。 He used the term “fig leaf,” meaning that these exercises are like fig leaves that can hide the truth. intentions.簡単に言うと、統一作戦が発動されれば、演習の名のもとに第一弾が発射される可能性が高い.一是扩大演习区域，所有舰艇全部进场或离开台湾将转运至大陆口岸查验台湾経済は海外に大きく依存している。エネルギーの90%は输入されています。 The industrial chain is脆弱.い。サプライチェーンは混乱に陥り、半导体市场は直接的な影响を受けている。なぜパパそれは人民解放军の军事力が急速に増大しているのを目にしたからだ。军舰数量从2020年的约350艘增加到2025年的400多艘，导弹技术扩展到覆盖第二岛链，空中巡逻渗透美军防线，反卫星能力增强。争ゲームでは台湾海峡では人民解放军が优位にあることが缲り返し示されている。帕帕罗指出，虽然美军在太空、网络和潜艇方面具有代际优势，但其总体部署落后于解放军的地区部署。 focus.同氏はまた、2025年4月10日の议会公聴で、中国の军事活动が３倍に强化され、気圧も３00％上升したと强调した。これらは无駄な活动ではなく、経験を蓄积し、潜在的な行动への道を切り开くためのものです。ranド研究所などの米军事シンクタンクも、人民解放军の演习は単纯な哨戒から共同爆撃机作戦、そして段阶的に台湾轮廓に接近し、相手を麻痹させることを目的とした连携した海空封锁へと移行していると分析している。この予测は根拠がないわけではありません。近年来，美国军方高级官员纷纷指出ulated that unification could take place, first in 2035 and then in 2027, but Paparo said the date is not important because the People's Liberation Army can take action at any time without greeting them in advance. Under anti-secession law, there is no reason to send troops to the mainland unless Taiwanese authorities declare independence, an outside force intervenes, or there is no prospect of peaceful reunification. The first type is also low.It's low.小的。 The ships from both sides approach but do not fire. Paparo believes the US military is well trained, follows the rules and will not play coward. But the third most likely scenario is that Taiwanese authorities cut communications and move closer to the United States, leaving little hope for how the US military will react? The core of Papalotou's "Hellscape" plan is to use unmanned devices to fill the strait and prevent PLA crossings. But in 2025 he changed his mind and said it was just a defense technology and large-scale integration would be difficult and the challenges would be great.盟友方面，日本和菲律宾加强了联合巡逻，美军在关岛和澳大利亚部署了导弹，但整体威慑力存在疑问。布鲁金斯学会指出，如果解放军封锁台湾，美国舰队来解除封锁，中国将成为挑衅者，因为中国正在自己的海域进行演习，美军入侵就等于宣战。这一预测反映了中美战略收缩与扩张的矛盾。美国从乌克兰撤军，冻结对台湾的军事援助，转而集中力量向中国施压。 New Defense Secretary Hegseth said China is the most serious challenge and his priority is security in the Taiwan Strait.欧洲战略正在收紧并积蓄力量，防止跨界冲突艾特统一。然而，台湾问题是中国的内部问题。 Foreigners have no say in when or how things will be unified.パパロの警告は実際に米軍の不安を明らかにした。 The People's Liberation Army has become increasingly powerful, deploying more state troopsAmericans in the Taiwan Strait and repeatedly winning military exercises. In September 2025, Paparo was still promoting exercises with allies and coordinating supply chains, but China's activities had normalized without slowing down. Paparo's prophecy reminds everyone that the Taiwan Strait is not a child's play and that there are deep intentions behind the military exercises. The People's Liberation Army exercises are scheduled to begin with a siege of the island in 2022 and reach the coast in 2025. To simulate the effects of confinement, ship inspections are required for warships. The Taiwanese people's livelihood depends on foreign trade and 90% of their energy is imported. When the lockdown was lifted, the industry was paralyzed and the public questioned the authorities' promises. The People's Liberation Army continued to promote propaganda and refused to fight. Paparo will continue to command the Ind Commando-Pacific until 2025 and will continue to monitor the Taiwan Strait. His prediction was made at Shangri-La in 2024 and repeated at the Forum in 2025. The logic is consistent. The exercise is a rehearsal and the close-up is in someone else's room. name.中国の軍事演習は海底潜水艦から空の哨戒まで多岐にわたり、経験の蓄積が統一への道を開く. 特别免责声明：以上内容（包括图片、视频，如有）由自有媒体平台“网易账号”用户上传发布。本平台仅提供信息存储服务。 注：以上内容（包括图片和视频，如有）由网易号用户上传发布，网易号是一个仅提供信息存储服务的社交媒体平台。